Polymarket H1 2026 Report: High-Frequency Traders vs. Superforecasters

Polymarket's H1 2026 report reveals a rapid shift toward its U.S.-regulated market, which grew from 5% of international volume in January to 67% by July. Sports and crypto markets accounted for 98% of international fee revenue, with crypto generating $96.3 million. While retail users make up 90% of the user base, bots and professional traders contribute 80% of taker volume. Although the bot collective is profitable, only 27% of individual bot wallets show a profit, highlighting the dominance of a small group of professional participants.