Market Predictions Diverge on September US Non-Farm Payrolls
The US September employment report is scheduled for release this Friday. Economic forecasts for non-farm payroll growth vary widely, ranging from 35,000 to 180,000, with major banks like Barclays estimating 50,000 and Bank of America 60,000. Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket suggest a roughly 50% probability that the figure will exceed 100,000, reflecting a significant gap between institutional forecasts and market sentiment.
Summaries are written by AI from the original article. Not investment advice.