Polymarket opens 2026 Taipei mayoral election market: Chiang Wan-an leads with 82%

Prediction market platform Polymarket has opened a betting market for the 2026 Taipei mayoral election. As of September 22, Chiang Wan-an leads with an 82% probability, while Shen Po-yang holds 18%. The market has seen over $154,000 in total trading volume. Users are cautioned that participating in election-related betting via the internet is considered a criminal offense under Article 103-1 of Taiwan's Public Officials Election and Recall Act, which carries potential jail time or fines.